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Home > 2002 > Portal Technology & Web Services (October) > Expert Opinion: David ...

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Summary of Reports


 Alcatel

 BT

 Corechange

 Microsoft Business Solutions

 NetManage

 SAP



Management Briefings



 Market Overview | Part 2 | Part 3

 Integration: Chris Harris-Jones, Ovum | Part 2

 Round Table | Part 2 | Part 3

 Implementation: John Thornton, CMG | Part 2

 Product Development: Tom Welsh, Independent Software Consultant | Part 2

 Information Access: Tony Caine, Netegrity | Part 2

 Best Practice: Andy Phelps of consultancy C-i | Part 2

 Project Management: Peter Busby, Xayce | Part 2

 Security Issues: John Walker, Experian | Part 2

 Market News | Part 2

 Expert Opinion: David Cotterill, Cambridge Technology Partners

Issue Summary

Web services looks like delivering on e-business’ promise, says David Cotterill.

Standards deliver

David Cotterill: efficiency gain is biggest driver

The GartnerGroup’s ‘hype cycle’ is one of the most useful conceptual models when trying to explain technology trends. It tracks the visibility of a particular technology over time.

A new technology quickly builds up visibility to a point dubbed ‘peak of inflated expectations’ (think 3G at the time when the licences were auctioned), then fails to live up to its promise and crashes to near invisibility, culminating in the ‘trough of disillusionment’. It then begins a far slower ascent, during which it delivers real value over two phases, named ‘slope of enlightenment’ – as people understand what the once over-hyped technology can realistically deliver – and a ‘plateau of productivity’ (think current-day enterprise resource planning).

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Home > 2002 > Portal Technology & Web Services (October) > Expert Opinion: David ...